Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.561936 0.623101 0.689168 0.765998 0.853096 0.949003 1.062929
2025-08-10 0.467182 0.551996 0.650719 0.774849 0.927761 1.111269 1.350116
2025-08-17 0.401338 0.494035 0.607324 0.757353 0.952885 1.201940 1.547800
2025-08-24 0.365318 0.464988 0.591776 0.767105 1.006767 1.328068 1.800292
2025-08-31 0.332033 0.434440 0.569110 0.762226 1.037121 1.422278 2.017174
2025-09-07 0.307826 0.412749 0.554880 0.765479 1.076542 1.530475 2.264947
2025-09-14 0.282927 0.387414 0.532616 0.753980 1.091723 1.602719 2.464804
2025-09-21 0.262784 0.366799 0.514771 0.746376 1.110598 1.680726 2.681666
2025-09-28 0.239468 0.339647 0.484986 0.717580 1.092888 1.697771 2.797064
2025-10-05 0.230402 0.332668 0.484326 0.733179 1.146616 1.835590 3.138789
2025-10-12 0.221296 0.324830 0.481524 0.744720 1.194172 1.967324 3.487054
2025-10-19 0.211563 0.315255 0.475142 0.749557 1.230297 2.082258 3.819045
2025-10-26 0.201724 0.305031 0.467254 0.751642 1.262611 2.195448 4.168298
2025-11-02 0.193704 0.297176 0.462621 0.758854 1.304803 2.331951 4.587582
2025-11-09 0.181762 0.282155 0.445057 0.741833 1.300365 2.377796 4.819792
2025-11-16 0.175697 0.276404 0.442570 0.751348 1.346644 2.528763 5.308967
2025-11-23 0.167631 0.266778 0.432764 0.746587 1.364556 2.623586 5.684230
2025-11-30 0.161517 0.260075 0.427527 0.749762 1.398250 2.755004 6.169180
2025-12-07 0.153576 0.249758 0.415243 0.738539 1.401456 2.820668 6.501590
2025-12-14 0.146791 0.241081 0.405345 0.731118 1.411740 2.902998 6.891347
2025-12-21 0.137453 0.227423 0.385638 0.703010 1.375594 2.875581 6.983360
2025-12-28 0.134863 0.225660 0.387629 0.718237 1.434372 3.075830 7.740032
2026-01-04 0.131858 0.222967 0.387694 0.729502 1.485451 3.264178 8.502066